Betting tips

Alex

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Match Time: 9/22/2020 02:45 Tuesday(GMT+8)
Italian Serie A -- AC Milan VS Bologna

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AC Milan
In the first round of Italian Serie A, AC Milan will play Bologna. AC Milan showed amazing fighting power after the quarterfinals of last season that they achieved a record of 12 unbeaten games, including 9 wins. AC Milan finally qualified for the Europa League as the sixth. They easily won the last round against Shamrock Rovers with two goals. The team is currently in a seven-game winning streak across the season and their morale is very high now.

Bologna
Bologna had a mediocre performance in Italian Serie A last season that they finally ranked 12th in the league with nearly 47 points, 19 points behind AC Milan. There is a clear gap in strength between the two sides. Bologna have no obvious advantage at home or away and no major signings in the new season. It’s worth mentioning that Bologna’s recent away stats is disappointing in that they lost all the latest 3 away games and concede 10 goals.

Data Analysis
In terms of previous clashes, AC Milan has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Bologna in recent 10 games, of which latest 3 ones are complete victories, so they have a greater psychological advantage. What’s more, the team have recently been winning streak, and their form is excellent. The handicap first odds was AC Milan -1 with medium return, which was lower later. It is hopeful that the home team will win this game.The Over/Under Goal line is 3 goals, which shows supports for AC Milan’s attacking capacity. Besides, Over goal has run out in the recent three clashes, I think Over goal is more possible this time.

Picks: AC Milan -1
Prediction: AC Milan wins
Over/Under Goal: Over 3 goals
Score Prediction: 3-1, 4-1
 
Match Time: 9/22/2020 01:00 Tuesday(GMT+8)
English Premier League -- Aston Villa VS Sheffield United

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Aston Villa
Aston Villa finished 17th with an eye-catching performance in the last 4 rounds last season. The team play host Sheffield United in the first round in the new season and strives for a good start. They have defeated Sheffield United 3-1 at home in the League Cup and successfully advanced, which may encourage them a lot in this match.

Sheffield United
Sheffield United played Wolves in the first league game, and finally lost 0-2 at home with various data advantages. The team faced Burnley in the League Cup and lost again. The recent state of Sheffield United has declined to the bottom. Another disadvantage is that this is the team's second consecutive away game, and they have 2 days less than Aston Villa for preparation.

Data Analysis
In the past 10 clashes, both sides have won 3 times. The handicap first odds was Aston Villa -0 with high-medium return, which dropped to medium-low level later. The companies obviously show support for the home team. I think we can follow their steps and go for Aston Villa in this game.

Prediction: Aston Villa wins
Score Prediction: 1-0
 
Match Time: 9/23/2020 03:00 Wednesday(GMT+8)
UEFA Champions League -- Slavia Praha VS Midtjylland

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Slavia Praha
Slavia Pragha successfully won the league title with 9 points ahead of Plzen last season, achieving three consecutive championships. In the new season, Slavia Praha also keeps a strong power that they won all the games, except the only one against Pardubice. The team have already scored 15 goals so far and they are even more stronger than last season. Slavia Praha are worth look forward to.

Midtjylland
Midtjylland was the champion of Danish Superliga last season, but lost in the first league game of new season. They lost 0-2 to SonderjyskE who ranked 11th ranked last season. Fortunately, the team quickly adjusted, and got two victories in a row in Champions League and Denmark Superligaen . However, it is worth mentioning that Midtjylland's recent away record is not ideal. They have only won once in the past 5 away games, which showed their insufficient stability.

Data Analysis
For now, Slavia Praha not only has an advantage in view of strength, but also clearly outperforms Midtjylland in form and morale. Plus there is home advantage, Slavia Praha can basically tie or win Midtjylland in this game campaign as long as they have normal performance. The handicap first odds was Slavia Praha -0.75. The trend of home win return of 1X2 odds is dropping, which indicates that Slavia Praha have a big chance of winning.

Picks: Slavia Praha -0.75
Prediction: Slavia Praha wins
Score Prediction: 1-0, 2-1
 
Match Time: 9/23/2020 03:15 Wednesday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Luton Town VS Manchester United

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Luton Town
Luton Town finally ranked 19th in the England Championship last season, only 3 points away from the relegation. In order to improve the strength, Luton Town signed defender Tom Lockyer, Aston Villa's James Bree and attacking midfielder Jordan Clark this summer. Tom Lockyer made 43 appearances for Charlton Athletic in the Premier League last season and scored 1 goal, who was a big force of the team’s defense. Their joining is obviously effective that Luton Town won all the six games, including the warm-ups, four of which were clean sheets. Both of their offensive and defensive performance is quite perfect.

Manchester United
Manchester United encountered Waterloo in the new season. First, they lost to Aston Villa in the warm-up match, and then lost 1-3 to Crystal Palace at home in the first round of Premier League. They have conceded 4 goals in two games, which proves that there are huge problems with them. Although Manchester United signed Donny van de Beek from Ajax this summer with 39 million Euros, whose cooperation with Bruno Fernandes and Paul Pogba is bound to increase the strength, it seems that the team still needs time to get it right.

Data Analysis
For now, although the two sides have a large gap in reputation and strength, Manchester United is obviously inferior to Luton Town in terms of recent stats and status. In addition, Manchester United may not send all the main players in this League Cup game, I see a stalement in it. The handicap odds Manchester United -1.75 turned to -1.5, showing less confidence in them. The home team’s win rate of handicap odds is only 20%, I personally think that it is necessary to expect a draw game.

Pick: Luton Town +1.5
Score Prediction: 1-1, 2-2
 
Match Time: 9/24/2020 02:45 Thursday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Fleetwood Town VS Everton

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Fleetwood Town
In the third round of the League Cup, the EFL League One team Fleetwood Town and the Premier League team Everton played for the promotion. Fleetwood Town performed well last season, but was knocked out in the first round of the promotion playoffs. The team got 4 victories after 5 rounds in the new season. Besides, they defeated Wigan Athletic in the first round. However, the team lost the last game against Peterborough United, who scored two goals in a row in extra time, ending 4-game winning streak. It was a big blow to morale.

Everton
Everton's lineup has been strengthened this season. The team has demonstrated good scoring capacity during the preparation that they scored 5 goals in two warm-up games. In the new season, Everton scored as many as 9 goals in three rounds. Besides, they defeated a strong opponent Tottenham in the first round, which greatly improved their confidence. Everton got a 5-2 victory over West Bromwich Albion in the last round, and striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin hit a hat trick.

Data Analysis
The two sides have not met in recent years. Although both have performed equally well in the new season, the difference of leagues can’t be ignored. The handicap first odds was Everton -1.25. Fleetwood Town's style is relatively open and Everton is good at attacking. In short, I think it’s not hard for Everton to win the handicap.

Pick: Everton -1.25
Prediction: Fleetwood Town loses
Goal Prediction: 2/3
 
Match Time: 9/24/2020 02:45 Thursday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Leicester City VS Arsenal

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Leicester City
In the third round of England League Cup, Leicester City play Arsenal. Although Leicester City have mediocre performance in the three friendly matches, the team still showed outstanding power in the new season. They easily defeated West Bromwich 3-0 at away in the first round and got a 4-2 victory over Burnley in the second round. The team is in excellent form now.

Arsenal
Arsenal showed great momentum under Mikel Arteta's coaching. After a complete preparation, they first defeated Liverpool in The Football Association Community Shield. They they got a big victory 3-0 over Fulham at away in the first league round and won West Ham United 2-1 at home in the second round. Their morale is booming.

Data Analysis
Leicester City have psychological advantages with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 clashes . The handicap first odds was 0, then turned to Arsenal -0.25. Both teams started the new season with a winning streak, and they are equally outstanding. Leicester City have stats and home advantages, so there is no difficulty in the handicap. I would expect Arsenal to get a three- game winning streak.

Picks: Arsenal -0.25
Prediction: Leicester City loses
Goal Prediction: 3 or less
 
Match Time:9/25/2020 02:45 Friday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Manchester City VS Bournemouth AFC

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Match Analysis
1. In the last game, Manchester City beat Wolves by 1-3 at away, ranking 7th in the league with 3 points. Manchester City are typically strong at home. In the past 10 home games, they got 8 wins and 2 losses.

2. Bournemouth AFC is team in England Championship. They got 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 league, ranking 5th in the league with 4 points. Bournemouth AFC are weak at away field. In the last 10 away games, they got 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses.

3. Bournemouth AFC are no match for Manchester City. In the last 10 times they met, Manchester City made a clean sweep. In this case, we think Bournemouth AFC will not win the game.

Odds Analysis
Manchester City have very good performances in this season, while Bournemouth AFC also have good status. The handicap first odd was Manchester City-2.25. But their coach said they would spare some strength for the league games, so the live odd is dropped to Manchester City-1.25. Manchester City are very hot but the odds are too weak. In this case, we think Bournemouth AFC have chance to win the odds in this game.

Manchester City VS Bournemouth AFC
Handicap Picks: Manchester City-1.25
1X2 Picks: Manchester City
 
Match Time:9/25/2020 02:45 Friday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Lincoln City VS Liverpool

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Match Analysis
1. In the past 2 games, Lincoln City got 2 wins, ranking 2nd in England League 1 with 6 points. They have good status recently and their home field performances are very good. In the last 10 home games, they got 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.

2. In the last 2 games, Liverpool got 2 wins and they are the 4th place in English Premier League with 6 points. Liverpool are weak at away field. In the last 9 away games, they got 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses.

3. In the last time they met, Lincoln City lost to Liverpool by 1-2. Although Lincoln City are unbeaten in recent 5 games, they are still a League One team, not as good as Liverpool who are the champions of English Premier League. Therefore, we think Lincoln is very hard to win this game.

Odds Analysis
The handicap odd was Liverpool-2, giving much support to the away team. Both two sides have good performances recently, by Lincoln City is weaker than Liverpool. Liverpool has low odd win rate, but now the odd is good for them. In this case, we think Liverpool will win the game.

Lincoln City VS Liverpool
Handicap Picks: Liverpool-2
1X2 Picks: Liverpool wins
 
Match Time: 9/28/2020 03:00 Monday(GMT+8)
France Ligue 1 -- Reims VS Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

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Reims
Reims lost 1-2 away to Metz in the last league round, who suffered a three-game losing streak and haven’t won four games in a row. They performed extremely poor in Ligue 1. There are a lot of problems with Reim’s offense. In the last game, they shot as many as Metz, but only the penalty kick was on target. Besides, the defensive midfielder Marshall Munetsi got a red card in the later period. I am not optimistic about them.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint-Germain defeated Nice 3-0 at away in the last round and got two victories in a row. Mbappé was not greatly affected by the Covid-19 after his return and contributed a goal. However, Neymar is still suspended because of the red card handed in the game against Marseille. There is a high probability that Di Maria will replace him in this game.

Data Analysis
The handicap first odds was Reims +1.5 with medium return, and the return has risen to a super high level in the later period. Although Neymar can’t play this game and and many get injured, PSG are still much stronger than Reims. I expect PSG to win this game.

Picks: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) -1.5
Prediction: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) wins
Score Prediction: 0-2, 0-3
 
Match Time: 9/29/2020 02:45 Tuesday(GMT+8)
Italian Serie A -- Bologna VS Parma

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Bologna
In the second round of Serie A, Bologna will play Parma. Bologna was a mid-range team last season with limited scoring ability at home and a win rate of only 31%. In the first round against AC Milan, both sides were at a disadvantage in the whole game. Bologna finally lost 0-2. Besides, the main left back was sent off before the end, so the defense in this game will be weakened.

Parma
Parma's performance last season was similar to Bologna. Their home and away records are more balanced, and they have no outstanding advantages. It is worth mentioning that the top two scorers left the team, who were the key to grab points. As a result, there will a big decline in the team’s offense this season. Parma faced Napoli in the first round and lost 0-2 without any goal scored.

Data Analysis
In previous clashes, Bologna got 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the recent 10 games and teh recent two ones ended in draw. Both teams had no obvious psychological advantage, and they all lost the first round. The handicap first odds was opened to Bologna -0.25 with medium return and the odds has risen to -0.5 in the later period, showing more support for the home team. I will expect Bologna to run out this time.

Pick: Bologna -0.5
Prediction: Bologna wins
Score Prediction: 2-0, 2-1
 
Match Time: 10/1/2020 01:00 Thursday(GMT+8)
Spanish La Liga -- SD Huesca VS Atletico Madrid

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SD Huesca
SD Huesca has made a lot of moves in the transfer window after being promoted from Spanish Segunda Division to La Liga this season. The team has introduced a total of 11 players and has a strong desire to stay clear of relegation. However, the team’s performance in the start was not good. Although they were able to get points facing the two strong teams Valencia and Villarreal, they couldn’t win any of three three games. It may be difficult for them to compete with Atletico Madrid this time.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid defeated Granada 6-1 in the last round at home. The team made 17 shots, 10 of which were on target. The team’s attacking power has been greatly improved compared with the previous season. Suarez, transferred from Barcelona, who will come to the first show, contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in his debut of Atletico Madrid, and almost perfectly integrated into the new tactical system. Atletico Madrid will definitely have a strong desire to grab points in this match.

Data Analysis
The handicap first odds was SD Huesca +0.75 with high return, and turned to +1 with medium return. The companies have showed stronger confidence in Atletico Madrid. It can be seen that Atletico Madrid's tactical system has changed after the 6-1 victory in the first round. Considering that Atletico Madrid have won 3-0 in the last two matches against SD Huesca and Suarez joined, away’s victory is not a big problem.

Picks: Atletico Madrid -1
Prediction: Atletico Madrid wins
 
Match Time: 10/2/2020 02:00 Friday(GMT+8)
England League Cup -- Aston Villa VS Stoke City

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Aston Villa
Aston Villa has performed well in the start of the new season. So far, they have won all the games and odds, including the warm-up match, and they have defeated Manchester United. Aston Villa not only have stable offense, scoring averaging 2 goals per game, and have many clean sheets. The quality and stability of Aston Villa’s defense are also excellent.

Stoke City
Stoke City is a team of England Championship. Last season, they only ranked in the middle and lower reaches of the league and missed the chance to promote. In the new season, although Stoke City have only lost one match so far, their win rate is not very high. They did not score in half of the games, showing many problems with their attacking. They are unlikely to beat the Premier League team this time.

Data Analysis
For now, although the two teams used to be members of the Premier League, they are not what they used to be. The handicap first odds was opened to Aston Villa -0.75 goal with appropriate return. Combining with the trend of the odds, I expect Aston Villa to win and promote.

Pick: Aston Villa -0.75
Prediction: Aston Villa wins
Goal Prediction: 2, 3
Score Prediction: 2-0, 2-1
 
Match Time: 10/9/2020 02:45 Friday(GMT+8)
UEFA European Championship -- Bulgaria VS Hungary

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Bulgaria
Bulgaria have always been a mediocre team in the past. In recent national team squads, no player in the team is particularly outstanding. What’s worse, Bulgaria’s recent performance is not satisfying, either in official matches or in the warm-ups. Bulgaria did not win the recent two UEFA Nations League games, and got only one victory in the past 10 matches. It is not difficult to find out that their offense is a bit terrible based on only 2 goals scored in the last 7 games. Bulgaria is in such a bad form now.

Hungary
Hungary is currently ranking 52 in the world. In the last UEFA Nations League round against Russia, the team fell behind by 3 goals early. Although Hungary counterattacked in the later period, they still lost the game 2-3, which was the sixth time they lost in the past eight games. The team's recent state has fluctuated greatly. Compared to Bulgaria, Hungary does not have an obvious advantage.

Data Analysis
In general, there is not much difference between the two teams in terms of comprehensive strength. Although Bulgaria has home advantage, it is not easy to win and rebound with such a downturn. Besides, they got no obvious advantage in previous clashes. The handicap first odds was Hungary -0.25 and the return continued to drop in the later period. Some companies even gave a handicap first odds of -0.5, which showing more confidence in away. I personally think that Hungary has a greater chance of winning points in this game.

Pick:Hungary -0.25
Goal Prediction: 1, 3
Score Prediction: 0-1, 1-2
 
Match Time: 10/9/2020 02:45 Friday(GMT+8)
UEFA European Championship -- Bosnia-Herzegovina VS Northern Ireland

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Bosnia-Herzegovina
Bosnia-Herzegovina will face Northern Ireland on 0ctober 9. Bosnia-Herzegovina currently ranks 49th in the world. They only got 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, ranking 4th in the group. They are good at home games. Of these 4 wins, 3 came from home. Bosnia-Herzegovina once made a 1-1 draw with Italy in the UEFA Nations League.

Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland now ranks 36th in the world and 3rd in Group C with 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. Considering that Germany and Netherlands are also included in this group, their current ranking is acceptable. The team’s away game is a fatal weakness. They have concede as many as 10 goals in the past three away games. In addition, Northern Ireland’s recent defense get worse that they lost 1-5 to Norway in the last UEFA Europa League round.

Data Analysis
In historical clashes, Bosnia-Herzegovina got a two-game winning streak against Northern Ireland and scored 2 goals in each of these 2 matches, occupying a certain psychological advantage. Bosnia-Herzegovina is better in offense and defensive capabilities.The handicap first odds was Bosnia-Herzegovina -0.5 with medium return. Home team is expected to successfully promote.

Picks: Bosnia-Herzegovina -0.5
Prediction: Bosnia-Herzegovina wins
Score Prediction: 2-0, 2-1
 
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